It looks like the adjusted SPI is proving to be a more accurate predictor of a team's success than the unadjusted version was. Of the eight teams that would make the playoffs if the season ended today, seven of them are in the top seven. (Arizona, the outlier, comes in at a distant 17th.) Milwaukee and Tampa are riding significant hot streaks to carry them into the upper reaches of the SPI. Chicago, Boston, and Philadelphia have each amassed enough runs to be safe for some time. And MInnesota and Los Angeles are starting to look like legitimate threats in the postseason. Here's how things would shake out if the playoffs started today, with each team's SPI rating in parentheses:
ALCS
Los Angeles (5) vs. Boston (2)
Tampa (3) vs. Minnesota (7)
NLCS
Chicago (1) vs. Arizona (17)
Philadelphia (6) vs. Milwaukee (4)
Maybe it's just me, but all of those look like really good series to me - even the Cubs-Diamondbacks series. If things keep up at this rate, we're in for a really good (and Yankees-free!) postseason.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment